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TS Gonzalo could become Category 1 hurricane within day or two.



A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for Barbados. A hurricane watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of hurricane-force winds.


At 11:00 PM tonight, Thursday 23rd July, 2020, TROPICAL STORM GONZALO was located near 9.9N 50.6W or about 635 MI...1022 KM ESE of Barbados. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 MPH... 95 KM/H. Storm-force winds extend outward only to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. Present Movement...W or 275 degrees at 14 MPH or 22KM/H. Minimum central pressure...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


Convection associated with Gonzalo has become better organized during the past few hours. Some re-strengthening is still possible during the next 48 hours as it continues on its westward to west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed throughout the weekend. On its updated forecast track, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to pass approximately 75 miles (121 km) to the south of Barbados on Saturday.



Despite the uncertainty in the intensity forecast due to its small size and the occasional intrusion of dry air, there is still the possibility of Gonzalo becoming a Category 1 hurricane within the next day or two.


Sustained storm force winds are likely to spread across Barbados from the morning of Saturday 25th July 2020, possibly increasing to hurricane force by Saturday afternoon. During which time, sustained wind speeds of 60 to 75 mph (97 to 120 km/h) with higher gusts are likely to affect the island.


Tropical Storm Gonzalo is also likely to generate rough to very rough sea swells during its passage. An advisory for this hazard may become necessary from tomorrow if conditions warrant.


The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 2:00 AM

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